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Thứ Ba, 1 tháng 1, 2013

Japan’s Prime Minister Resigns, Making Way for Shinzo Abe

The change in prime ministers is the seventh in six years, a high turnover that is a sign of Japan’s inability to escape its long economic funk. Mr. Abe faces not only industrial decline but also the challenge of an increasingly assertive China.

An outspoken nationalist, Mr. Abe, 58, has vowed to defend Japan’s control of islands in the East China Sea that are also claimed by China. However, since his party’s landslide Dec. 16 victory, he has played down confrontation with Asian neighbors, and instead focused his agenda on lifting Japan’s faltering economy out of recession ahead of upper house elections next summer.

Mr. Abe has vowed to move quickly to spur growth by offering 10 trillion yen, or about $120 billion, in public works and other emergency stimulus spending.

He has also promised to force the central bank to move more aggressively to combat deflation and to weaken the value of the yen, which would offer relief to beleaguered export industries by making Japanese products cheaper abroad.

The measures, called Abenomics by local news media, are intended to revive the economy ahead of the elections in June, which would help Mr. Abe’s party also reclaim the upper house, giving it control of Parliament.

Mr. Abe has already appointed much of his cabinet, filling it with mostly relatively young and unknown faces.

While many of the appointees are Mr. Abe’s friends, the fresh lineup is also apparently intended to emphasize that the party has changed since it was voted out in 2009.

The Liberal Democrats, who governed Japan for most of the past six decades, are widely blamed for presiding over Japan’s so-called lost decades of economic stagnation and industrial hollowing.

Among the few veterans on the cabinet will be Taro Aso, 72, another former prime minister, who will return as finance minister and deputy prime minister.

The important post of foreign minister will go to Fumio Kishida, a 55-year-old former minister in charge of Okinawan affairs, who is expected to try to smooth ties with the United States frayed by a dispute over an American air base on Okinawa.

Mr. Abe will also face some early challenges, such as bridging a rift within his party over whether Japan should join a new regional free-trade pact led by the United States. Joining the agreement, known as the Trans-Pacific Partnership, is supported by business but opposed by farmers. Both are staunch backers of the Liberal Democrats.

Another challenge will be responding to China’s stepped-up efforts to assert its claims to the disputed islands. Chinese government ships and more recently aircraft now make almost daily incursions into Japanese-controlled waters and airspace near the islands, with no signs of letting up.


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Congressional Memo: Fiscal Crisis Impasse Long in the Making

From the first fight over a short-term spending agreement to keep the government open in early 2011 to the later tangle over the debt ceiling to the failure of last year’s special budget committee and the resulting automatic spending cuts that now loom along with tax increases, the so-called fiscal cliff was built, slab by partisan slab, to where it now threatens the nation’s finances.

“Something has gone terribly wrong,” said Senator Joe Manchin III, Democrat of West Virginia, “when the biggest threat to our American economy is the American Congress.”

Years of increased spending on everything from wars to expanded entitlement programs — combined with protracted, stubborn unemployment and a nation of workers whose earning power and home values have plummeted in recent years — have persuaded lawmakers in both parties that fiscal policy is the most pressing domestic concern.

But a fundamental ideological chasm between the majority of lawmakers and an empowered group of Congressional Republicans — fueled by some Tea Party victories in both chambers in 2010 — has made it more difficult than ever to reach fiscal and budgetary compromises.

Each fight has left Democrats and Republicans both more distrustful and wary of working together, each in search of a voter mandate to push its vision to the fore. In some ways, that dynamic has come full circle.

In 2011, right after their big midterm victory, Republicans were able to push Democrats out of their comfort zone on spending, using short-term measures to keep the government open and the debt ceiling as weapons against the Obama administration. After the 2012 election, Democrats are using that same strategy to tear Republicans from their orthodoxy on taxes, and the Republicans’ pain is evident.

“Hats off to the president — he won,” Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, said ruefully on Sunday.

As a result, members of both parties have become increasingly addicted to short-term solutions to long-term problems, cobbling together two- and three-month bills and short-term extensions to fight over again and again until the string has run out on many major pressing issues.

Also, a change in the way this Congress does business — the elimination of home-state earmarks that once greased so many Congressional deals — and the escalating use of the Senate filibuster to prevent debate on even routine legislation have further hamstrung lawmakers in their efforts to get anything done.

With less than 48 hours to go before substantial tax hikes and large spending cuts affected nearly every aspect of American life, the 112th Congress was lurching toward its operatic end in a state of legislative dysfunction, ideological asymmetry and borderline chaos.

“This is one of the lowest points of the U.S. Senate,” Senator Barbara A. Mikulski, Democrat of Maryland, remarked as she ticked off what she said were other nadirs in a long Senate career. “This is what we’re doing to ourselves.”

A Sunday session on the eve of New Year’s Eve was marked by confusion, acrimony and a fair amount of sitting around waiting for things that never happened.

On the Senate side, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority leader, took to the floor at midday to proclaim the talks all but finished, shocking even some Democrats. Later he said, well, maybe they were not. Mr. Reid said he had made a counteroffer to the most recent one offered by his Republican counterpart, Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Then his aides said he had been sort of joking.

Mr. McConnell, seeking a lifeline, or at least perhaps a sympathetic ear, turned to Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., his old Senate friend, almost like one brother calling another to ask how to deal with the awful family fight brewing back home. Mr. Biden and Mr. McConnell have worked together for decades in the Senate and two years ago were able to cut the last major tax deal.

At some point within the pandemonium, members of Congress started talking, almost inexplicably, about the stalled farm bill. It is one of the many measures — once relatively noncontroversial and typically passed with bipartisan glee — that have expired and that Congress has been unable to renew, and the sudden attention to it seemed incongruous given the crisis atmosphere.

Bending to the wishes of Speaker John A. Boehner, House members returned to the Capitol on Sunday night, ostensibly to hear about a Senate deal. But since one had not materialized, they instead contented themselves by voting on subjects like the dignified burial of veterans, and by snacking on pizza.

Representative Bill Huizenga of Michigan, a freshman Republican who has enjoyed the highs of his party’s hard-fought victories and remains in defiance of Democrats even as that dominance has crumbled, found himself on Sunday in a place he has come to know well — the middle of an impasse.

“I feel like I’m trapped in ‘Groundhog Day,’ ” Mr. Huizenga said.

And in a way he was, as he and his colleagues found themselves yet again on the brink of a fiscal crisis, this one magnified by all the others before it.


View the original article here

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